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As if Donald Trump needed any more problems, he just got a heaping dump of bad news

by Jessica

Donald Trump is currently facing numerous challenges that have put his political future in jeopardy. As an ex-president with a single term, two impeachments, and two indictments, he is now confronted with more than 70 criminal charges, and the prospect of additional charges looms. Recent polls indicate that his 2024 presidential prospects are looking grim.

According to a Pew Research poll conducted between July 10 and 16, Trump’s favorability among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents has taken a hit as the primary season heats up. His unfavorable rating among conservative voters rose from 24% in 2022 to 32% in 2023. Even more concerning is the decline in his favorable rating, which dropped nearly 10 points from 75% in 2022 to 66% in 2023.

According to FiveThirtyEight, These numbers raise concerns for Trump, given that the first primaries are still more than six months away. Despite this decline, Trump is still leading the Republican field with an average of 50.8% support, significantly ahead of his closest opponent, Ron “Don’t Say Gay” DeSantis, who hovers around 20% support.

In addition to the decline in support, a Harvard University CAPS/Harris Poll from July 19 and 20 revealed that the majority of registered voters back the federal investigation into Trump’s involvement in the January 6 insurrection and his attempts to overturn the 2020 presidential election results.

Democrats (87%), independents (47%), and even some Republicans (31%) believe the case against him is either “very strong” or “somewhat strong.” Moreover, 42% of respondents think he is probably guilty of potential charges, while 37% believe he is innocent and should not be charged. Interestingly, some respondents (20%) believe he might be guilty but should not be indicted due to political implications on the 2024 election.

Recently, special counsel Jack Smith notified Trump that another federal indictment is likely forthcoming. Trump declined to appear before a grand jury and instead issued a statement on Truth Social, expressing his stance on the matter.

A Yahoo News/YouGov poll conducted from July 13 to 17 also reflects poorly on Trump. The majority of Americans view his various scandals, such as the Stormy Daniels hush money issue and mishandling of classified documents, as disqualifying factors for public office. Additionally, 51% of respondents believe he has committed serious crimes in his life, while 21% are uncertain, and 27% disagree.

The overall picture indicates that Trump’s political standing is not favorable. While he does have devoted supporters, they might not be sufficient to secure him the Republican nomination, let alone another term in the White House. The upcoming GOP primary debate, scheduled for August 23 in Milwaukee, is expected to be contentious. Trump, DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, Nikki Haley, Tim Scott, and Chris Christie have qualified to appear on stage, with Mike Pence inching closer. The debates could significantly impact the race, and it remains to be seen how the situation will unfold.

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