New Poll Shows Trump’s Dominance in Republican Presidential Race with 47% Support
According to a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted online and surveying 4,414 adults nationwide, Donald Trump is commanding the U.S. Republican presidential nomination contest with a strong 47% support within his party.
This puts him well ahead of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who garnered 19% support. The seven-day poll, which concluded on Monday, reveals Trump’s rise from a previous June poll where he had the backing of 43% of Republicans.
The remaining contenders in the Republican field are significantly behind the front-runners. Former biotechnology executive Vivek Ramaswamy gained 9% support in the poll, a considerable increase from his 3% support in the June Reuters/Ipsos poll. Former Vice President Mike Pence secured 7% support.
Ramaswamy has been actively investing significant amounts of his own money to promote his candidacy, disclosing a personal loan of around $15 million to his campaign. However, both Ramaswamy and Pence have a substantial gap to bridge in order to catch up with Trump and DeSantis.
In the hypothetical scenario of a November 2024 general election between Trump and Democratic U.S. President Joe Biden, who is seeking re-election, the Reuters/Ipsos poll indicates a close race.
Biden leads with 37% support, while Trump closely trails at 35%. The remaining 28% of respondents expressed uncertainty, intending to vote for someone else, or opting not to vote at all.
Interestingly, neither Biden nor Trump enjoys widespread popularity beyond their respective parties. Among independents, only 31% hold a favorable opinion of Trump, while 32% feel the same about Biden.
With Biden being the oldest U.S. president ever to hold office at 80 years old, the poll reveals that 63% of Democrats agree with the statement that he is too old to work in government, while 37% disagree.
Despite these factors, Biden holds a significant lead in the Democratic contest compared to Trump’s lead in the Republican field. He enjoys the support of 63% of Democrats, while anti-vaccine activist Robert F. Kennedy Jr. trails behind at 15%.
The poll’s results have a credibility interval, indicating a precision range of about 2 percentage points in either direction.