The political arena is abuzz with concerns over Joe Biden’s perceived vulnerability against the twice-impeached and four-times-indicted Donald Trump. Indictments, typically a political kiss of death, seem to slide off Trump’s Teflon exterior, keeping his political charisma intact.
A recent Wall Street Journal survey of 1,500 voters reveals that only 42% approve of Biden’s performance as president, while 57% disapprove. In contrast, his predecessor garners 48% approval and 51% disapproval. Biden’s net approval rating stands at minus 15, compared to Trump’s minus 3.
The RealClearPolitics Average underscores Biden’s struggle, as his approval rating hasn’t exceeded 50% since August 2021. Historically, one-term presidents like Jimmy Carter, George H.W. Bush, and Trump were below 50% when they lost re-election. Carter and Bush faltered due to economic challenges, and Biden’s battle to rein in consumer prices could lead to a similar fate, akin to Carter’s loss to Reagan.
In 2020, voters turned against Trump and favored Joe Biden, but now, nearly four years later, they face rising costs for rent, food, and fuel compared to Trump’s tenure. Coupled with concerns about Biden’s perceived frailty and potential corruption, voters appear disenchanted with the prospect of a rematch.
While some defend Biden, emphasizing the value of age as wisdom and experience, voter enthusiasm remains a crucial factor in elections, and Biden seems to lack it. His presence on the Democratic ticket could dampen turnout, potentially opening the door for Trump to achieve a non-consecutive term victory, a feat not seen since Grover Cleveland in 1892.
An April NBC News poll revealed that over half of registered Democrats prefer someone other than Biden as their party’s standard bearer. Moreover, The Wall Street Journal poll found that only 17% of voters “strongly approve” of Biden’s performance, while 32% said the same about Trump during his presidency.
Within the Democratic camp, concerns also emerge among Black voters, who exhibit less enthusiasm for Biden compared to the past. The party’s outreach to Black men, considered a substantial and loyal base, faces significant challenges.
As poorer minorities feel the pinch of rising living costs under Bidenomics, there’s a risk that they might opt to stay home during the upcoming elections, posing a formidable challenge for Biden’s campaign.
Facing these headwinds, Democrats may explore alternative strategies, potentially considering a shift away from Biden and exploring candidates like former First Lady Michelle Obama if the trend persists.