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Hypothetical Election Poll Reveals Shifting Landscape in Crucial Swing States for Trump and Biden

by Jessica

A recent poll conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies in collaboration with The Telegraph, as reported by The Hill on Monday, January 8, 2024, delves into the dynamics of a hypothetical general election between former President Donald Trump and current President Joe Biden.

The survey focuses on six pivotal swing states: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania.

The third edition of this poll reveals nuanced changes in Trump’s leads over Biden since the previous survey conducted in November.

Overall findings indicate a marginal decrease in Trump’s advantage in four of the surveyed states.

Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania show tighter margins between the two candidates, reflecting a subtle shift in public sentiment.

However, it’s important to emphasize that Trump maintains a lead in all six states, underscoring the ongoing division among swing state voters regarding their preferred candidate in a potential general election.

Pennsylvania emerges as the closest battleground state, with Trump holding a slender 1-point lead over Biden.

In Pennsylvania, Trump secured 40 percent support, closely followed by Biden at 39 percent.

The poll highlights a narrowing of Trump’s lead in Pennsylvania since November when he held a 7-point advantage.

In Arizona, Trump’s lead dipped from 7 points in November to a 6-point margin in the latest poll, with the former president garnering 41 percent support.

Georgia presents an 8-point lead for Trump over Biden, a slight reduction from the 10-point lead recorded in the previous poll.

North Carolina reflects a diminishing lead for Trump, who now holds a 4-percentage point advantage over Biden, compared to the 9-point lead observed in November. The poll indicates Trump with 37 percent support in North Carolina, while Biden trails with 33 percent.

Notably, Trump’s leads did not experience a narrowing trend in the states of Florida and Michigan.

In Florida, the former president maintains a robust 11-point lead over Biden, while in Michigan, he sustains a 2-point lead.

The national polling average by The Hill/Decision Desk HQ mirrors a tight race between Trump and Biden in a hypothetical head-to-head general election rematch.

Trump secures 44.3 percent support, closely trailed by Biden at 43.1 percent.

As the survey captures the nuances of voter preferences in key swing states, the results indicate the fluidity of political dynamics and the potential impact of changing sentiments. The closeness of margins in certain states suggests that the 2024 political setting remains highly competitive and subject to evolving dynamics, keeping both parties on their toes as they strategize for the upcoming election.

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